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Optimal Decision-Making for Catastrophic Earthq...
67,99 € *
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Optimal Decision-Making for Catastrophic Earthquakes ab 67.99 € als Taschenbuch: Seismic hazard modeling loss estimation and decision-making under uncertainty. Aus dem Bereich: Bücher, Wissenschaft, Technik,

Anbieter: hugendubel
Stand: 18.02.2020
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Eyes Wide Open: How to Make Smart Decisions in ...
27,99 € *
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We face momentous decisions with important consequences throughout our lives. We are in an age of data deluge - by 2020 we'll be consuming 44 times more info than we are today, and we are faced with almost constant disruption. Did you know that each time you check an email it takes you 24 minutes to get back to your prior level of concentration? This is the environment in which we now make decisions. Who to trust? Who to believe? What to decide? Errors in decision-making lead young people to under-save for retirement, doctors to miss tumors, CEO's to make catastrophic investments, governments to engage in needless wars, and parents to irreversibly traumatize their children. Now that those experts we previously relied upon cannot be counted on to make decisions for us, we need to become empowered decision-makers, capable of making high-stakes decisions ourselves. It's time we started to think ourselves smarter. How to make better choices and smarter decisions when the stakes are high and the outcome really matters - whether you are a politician, a business-person, a professional or a parent - is what this book is about.

Anbieter: buecher
Stand: 18.02.2020
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Eyes Wide Open: How to Make Smart Decisions in ...
27,99 € *
ggf. zzgl. Versand

We face momentous decisions with important consequences throughout our lives. We are in an age of data deluge - by 2020 we'll be consuming 44 times more info than we are today, and we are faced with almost constant disruption. Did you know that each time you check an email it takes you 24 minutes to get back to your prior level of concentration? This is the environment in which we now make decisions. Who to trust? Who to believe? What to decide? Errors in decision-making lead young people to under-save for retirement, doctors to miss tumors, CEO's to make catastrophic investments, governments to engage in needless wars, and parents to irreversibly traumatize their children. Now that those experts we previously relied upon cannot be counted on to make decisions for us, we need to become empowered decision-makers, capable of making high-stakes decisions ourselves. It's time we started to think ourselves smarter. How to make better choices and smarter decisions when the stakes are high and the outcome really matters - whether you are a politician, a business-person, a professional or a parent - is what this book is about.

Anbieter: buecher
Stand: 18.02.2020
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Think Again: Why Good Leaders Make Bad Decision...
9,95 € *
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Why do smart and experienced leaders make flawed, even catastrophic, decisions? Why do people keep believing they have made the right choice, even with the disastrous result staring them in the face? And how can you be sure you're making the right decision--without the benefit of hindsight? Sydney Finkelstein, Jo Whitehead, and Andrew Campbell show how the usually beneficial processes of the human mind can become traps when we face big decisions. The authors show how the shortcuts our brains have learned to take over millennia of evolution can derail our decision making. Think Again offers a powerful model for making better decisions, describing the key red flags to watch for and detailing the decision-making safeguards we need. Using examples from business, politics, and history, Think Again deconstructs bad decisions, as they unfolded in real time, to show how you can avoid the same fate. 1. Language: English. Narrator: Walter Dixon. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/gdan/000299/bk_gdan_000299_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 18.02.2020
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The Irrational Economist: Making Decisions in a...
9,95 € *
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Of the 20 most costly catastrophes since 1970, more than half have occurred since 2001. Is this an omen of what the 21st century will be? How might we behave in this new, uncertain and more dangerous environment? Will our actions be rational or irrational?A select group of scholars, innovators, and Nobel Laureates was asked to address challenges to rational decision making both in our day-to-day life and in the face of catastrophic threats such as climate changes, natural disasters, technological hazards, and human malevolence. At the crossroads of decision sciences, behavioral and neuro-economics, psychology, management, insurance, and finance, their contributions aim to introduce readers to the latest thinking and discoveries.The Irrational Economist challenges the conventional wisdom about how to make the right decisions in the new era we have entered. It reveals a profound revolution in thinking as understood by some of the greatest minds in our day, and underscores the growing role and impact of economists and other social scientists as they guide our most important personal and societal decisions.Due to the author's superstitions, Chapter 13 has been intentionally omitted from this book. 1. Language: English. Narrator: Bill Quinn. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/adbl/001449/bk_adbl_001449_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 18.02.2020
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Zero Hour: The Blackout Series, Book 2 , Hörbuc...
9,95 € *
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Would you have the mindset to survive? To provide for and defend the ones you love at all costs? Willing to confront the depravity of man? This is a true story, it just hasn't happened yet. Book one of this new post-apocalyptic survival fiction series, 36 Hours, provided the listener a glimpse into the rapid decline of society once word of the catastrophic solar flare racing towards Earth began to spread. Book two, Zero Hour, continues to follow the obstacles faced by Colton Ryman, his wife, Madison, and their teenage daughter, Alex. In 36 Hours, the Ryman family and the rest of the world was thrust into the darkness of a post-apocalyptic world. A catastrophic solar flare brought with it a blast of solar matter in the form of an EMP, leaving America in darkness. The Rymans weren't preppers and had no concept of what prepping entails. They applied common sense, logic, and a will to survive to their decision-making as they prepared for the post-apocalyptic world created by the EMP. The dangers they face are not from the solar flare itself, but from their fellow man. Who can they count on? Who is a threat? The words of Colton Ryman's grandfather repeated in his mind. Never underestimate the depravity of man! Note: This book does not contain strong language. It is intended to entertain and inform audiences of all ages, including teen and young adults. Although some scenes depict the realistic threat our nation faces from a devastating solar flare, and the societal collapse which will result in the aftermath, it does not contain graphic scenes typical of other books in the post-apocalyptic genre. 1. Language: English. Narrator: Kevin Pierce. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/067858/bk_acx0_067858_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 18.02.2020
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Turning Point: A Post-Apocalyptic EMP Survival ...
9,95 € *
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Ya' lives by the sun, ya' dies by the sun. Life is always at a turning point... when faced with a certain death... would you be willing to seize the moment... and do what it takes to survive? Know this. You'll never know where the bend in the road might take you. The new dystopian, post-apocalyptic fiction series from author Bobby Akart (The Boston Brahmin series and the Prepping for Tomorrow series) has been hailed as a masterpiece of prepper fiction. Prepare to learn, as well as be entertained as The Blackout Series continues with Turning Point. In book one of this new post-apocalyptic survival fiction series, 36 Hours, the listener was provided a glimpse into the rapid decline of society once word of the catastrophic solar flare racing towards Earth began to spread. Book two, Zero Hour, thrust our character into the perils of a post-apocalyptic world. At Zero Hour, an EMP caused by a massive solar flare left America in darkness. The Ryman family, who weren't preppers, applied common sense, logic, and a will to survive to their decision-making as they faced their death, their neighbors, and the depravity of man. Now, in Turning Point, the characters face a life altering decision - should we stay or should we go? The oldest and strongest emotion in man is fear, and the strongest kind of fear is fear of the unknown. Will Americans flee the urban centers, the proverbial golden hordes, for the countryside? Will it be safer than the cities? Turning Point will lead the Ryman family into a complex, inexplicable world where danger lurks around every bend. Note: This book does not contain strong language. It is intended to entertain and inform audiences of all ages, including teen and young adults. 1. Language: English. Narrator: Kevin Pierce. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/071023/bk_acx0_071023_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 18.02.2020
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Whisper Network: A Novel , Hörbuch, Digital, 1,...
9,95 € *
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AN INSTANT NEW YORK TIMES BEST SELLER!“Honest, timely, and completely thrilling.” (Reese Witherspoon (Reese’s Book Club x Hello Sunshine book pick) Sloane, Ardie, Grace, and Rosalita have worked at Truviv, Inc., for years. The sudden death of Truviv’s CEO means their boss, Ames, will likely take over the entire company. Each of the women has a different relationship with Ames, who has always been surrounded by whispers about how he treats women. Those whispers have been ignored, swept under the rug, hidden away by those in charge. But the world has changed, and the women are watching this promotion differently. This time, when they find out Ames is making an inappropriate move on a colleague, they aren’t willing to let it go. This time, they’ve decided enough is enough. Sloane and her colleagues’ decision to take a stand sets in motion a catastrophic shift in the office. Lies will be uncovered. Secrets will be exposed. And not everyone will survive. All of their lives - as women, colleagues, mothers, wives, friends, even adversaries - will change dramatically as a result. "If only you had listened to us,” they tell us in Chandler Baker's Whisper Network, “none of this would have happened."Praise for Whisper Network:"Narrator Almarie Guerra projects the Southern accent and sassy tone that are needed in this audiobook.... Guerra captivates listeners by creating energetic portrayals.... This is an intense listen about women who triumph over injustice in the workplace." (AudioFile Magazine)“Don't be fooled by its title. Whisper Network is a primal roar of a novel. Furiously funny and just plain furious, it's as timely as today's headlines and as big-hearted as your best work friend. A fantastic read.” (Riley Sager, New York Times best-selling author of The Last Time I Lied) “E 1. Language: English. Narrator: Almarie Guerra. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/aren/003898/bk_aren_003898_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 18.02.2020
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Optimal Decision-Making for Catastrophic Earthq...
68,00 € *
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Infrequent and large earthquakes cause damage to structures and infrastructure and result in catastrophic tangible and intangible seismic losses. For successful seismic disaster mitigation, it is essential to assess economic and societal losses quantitatively and to take the effects of people s risk perception and risk attitudes towards low- probability high-consequence seismic risks into account. To address these issues, a simulation-based seismic risk model for buildings is developed by incorporating probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, spatial correlation of seismic effects at different sites, inelastic seismic demand estimation, reliability analysis, seismic loss estimation, and decision analysis. The developed model is applied to identify cost-effective and socially acceptable seismic design levels and to investigate the effects of risk perception of decision makers. The book also presents a novel application of a spatial correlation model of seismic excitations to highlight the impacts of spatially correlated seismic effects on multiple buildings. Implications of the findings for successful seismic risk management are discussed.

Anbieter: Dodax
Stand: 18.02.2020
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